Gregory Rodriguez vs. Bruno Pereira 2: Odds, Full Fight Preview and Prediction | UFC 326

UFC (Ultimate Fighting Championship) middleweight slugger Gregory Rodriguez big Bruno Pereira UFC 326 is scheduled to feature a rematch this weekend (Saturday, March 7, 2026) at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

The UFC likes to book random rematches these days, but this one feels more appropriate than most. For those who don’t remember, Rodriguez was already hyped when he was scheduled to fight. Brad Tavares Again in January 2023; However, the competition was abandoned due to an injury to a Hawaiian player. Replacing him will be Ferreira in his Octagon debut, with "The Hulk” earning a significant upset via first-round knockout.

Since then, Rodriguez has won five of six and generally has the stronger resume of the two. But Ferreira continued to be an electric finisher and is on a three-fight win streak against “Robocop.”

Let’s take a closer look at each player’s betting odds and strategy keys.

LAS VEGAS, NV – DECEMBER 6: (RL) Bruno Ferreira of Brazil punches Marvin Vettori of Italy during their lightweight bout at UFC 323 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on December 6, 2025. (Photo: Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

Rodriguez vs Pereira Betting Odds

  • Gregory Rodriguez to win: -215
  • Gregory Rodriguez via TKO/KO/DQ: +165
  • Gregory Rodriguez via submission: +425
  • Gregory Rodriguez via decision: +550
  • Bruno Pereira to win: +164
  • Bruno Pereira via TKO/KO/DQ: +275
  • Bruno Pereira via submission: +1600
  • Bruno Pereira via decision: +800
  • Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 15: (LR) Grigory Rodriguez (L) of Brazil defeats Roman Kopilov of Russia in their middleweight bout during UFC 322 at Madison Square Garden in New York on November 15, 2025. (Photo: Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

NEW YORK, NY – NOVEMBER 15: (LR) Grigory Rodriguez (L) of Brazil defeats Roman Kopilov of Russia in their middleweight bout during UFC 322 at Madison Square Garden in New York on November 15, 2025. (Photo: Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

‘RoboCop’ is a clear powerhouse that sometimes goes beyond its categories from puncher to fighter. Rodriguez can jab, slip, and rip well, but he also has a tendency to swing too much in pursuit of a big knockout. Likewise, he is a black belt in jiu-jitsu with high-level wrestling, but this is no guarantee that he will actually attempt to grapple. The good thing is that overall, he stopped 11 opponents via knockout.

If Rodriguez doesn’t make the same mistakes, this is a very winnable fight. Ferreira is incredibly cunning in his wildness, and Rodriguez runs right at him like he’s invincible. Hopefully, Ferreira’s monster left hand taught him a lesson he hasn’t yet forgotten ahead of this one.

Rodriguez doesn’t have to run right into the range of the shorter man. He lands a jab and is able to extend this fight a bit. Because we tend to see Ferreira slowing down more seriously than Rodrigues. Even if both lose a bit of steam after the first one. Ferreira is very eager to attack, so another good option is to catch or time a kick while off balance for an easy takedown.

If Rodriguez takes more responsibility defensively, he will be able to show the gap in his overall skills.

NEW ORLEANS, LA - JULY 19: (LR) Bruno Ferreira of Brazil secures an armbar submission against Jackson McVay in their middleweight bout at UFC 318 at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana on July 19, 2025. (Photo courtesy of Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC)

NEW ORLEANS, LA – JULY 19: (LR) Bruno Ferreira of Brazil secures an armbar submission against Jackson McVay in their middleweight bout at UFC 318 at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana on July 19, 2025. (Photo courtesy of Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC)

“The Hulk” is a unique middleweight. Fairly short for his height of 5’10, Ferreira is a threat from distance due to his ability to explode forward with surprising combinations. He can also dive into a spin kick or explode with a double leg. All of these threats must be respected, as Ferreira never throws a single shot below maximum power.

Writing the Keys to Victory section for Ferreira means he has a process, but I’m not sure that’s true. As far as I know, he’s just a fast, strong athlete who uses random tools to throw at his opponents. For better or worse, Ferreira is made to run hard until someone falls.

Ultimately, I’d like to see Pereira get Rodriguez in for a shot. Rodriguez will walk forward, so why not dodge a bit and set up a trap for ‘RoboCop’?

Brazilian Bruno Pereira (left) competes against Brazilian Gregory Rodriguez (right) in a middleweight match at the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) tournament held at the Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on January 21, 2023. (Photo by MAURO PIMENTEL/AFP) (Photo by MAURO PIMENTEL/AFP via Getty Images)

Brazilian Bruno Pereira (left) competes against Brazilian Gregory Rodriguez (right) in a middleweight match at the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) tournament held at the Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on January 21, 2023. (Photo by MAURO PIMENTEL/AFP) (Photo by MAURO PIMENTEL/AFP via Getty Images)
AFP via Getty Images

Rodriguez vs Pereira Prediction

Look, this fight is still a mess. We’re talking about a pair of heavy hitters who prioritize offense above all else. Maybe one of them will show up wearing wrestling shoes, but there’s a good chance they’ll just stand there and stomp away until one of them stands up. It’s fair to say that both men have what it takes to stop the other, even if only Ferreira has proven that fact beyond a doubt.

With all of this in mind, Rodriguez is the “better” fighter. His wrestling and grappling are excellent and his boxing is even tighter. His game is generally better structured and he will get more minutes against good players. Perhaps Ferreira is a uniquely bad style matchup for him, but Rodriguez should win the fight more often than not.

prediction: Rodriguez via knockout

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